On Sunday, Poles began voting in a crucial presidential runoff election that will significantly impact the nation’s political trajectory and its relationship with the European Union. The contest features Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski, a liberal pro-EU candidate, against conservative historian Karol Nawrocki, supported by the right-wing Law and Justice party. With incumbent President Andrzej Duda finishing his second term, the new president’s decisions will shape the future direction of Poland, particularly regarding the centrist agenda of Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s government, which includes the pivotal veto power.
Polling stations opened at 7 a.m. and will close at 9 p.m., with an Ipsos exit poll expected immediately after. Final results are anticipated the following day. The runoff follows a closely contested first round held on May 18, where Trzaskowski secured just over 31% of the vote, while Nawrocki followed closely at nearly 30%, eliminating several other candidates.
The campaign has underscored significant ideological divisions. Trzaskowski, who is 53, has pledged to reinstate judicial independence, ease abortion restrictions, and strengthen ties with the EU. Nawrocki, 42, presents himself as a guardian of traditional Polish values, advocating skepticism toward the EU and aligning with U.S. conservatives.
Amid allegations regarding Nawrocki’s past connections to criminal elements, he remains supported by right-wing voters who often perceive these claims as politically driven. With rising security concerns due to Russia’s actions in Ukraine, both candidates endorse aiding Kyiv, though their stances on NATO membership differ.
European centrists favor Trzaskowski, viewing him as a defender of democratic principles against global authoritarianism, while Nawrocki’s backers fear a shift in control toward European powers if he prevails.
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